{"id":476,"date":"2025-03-07T19:33:32","date_gmt":"2025-03-07T16:33:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/?p=476"},"modified":"2025-03-07T19:33:34","modified_gmt":"2025-03-07T16:33:34","slug":"rusya-ukrayna-savasinda-degisen-dengeler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/2025\/03\/07\/rusya-ukrayna-savasinda-degisen-dengeler\/","title":{"rendered":"Rusya- Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131nda De\u011fi\u015fen Dengeler"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131ndaki sava\u015f, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n 2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131 i\u015fgal etmesi ve b\u00f6lgede yay\u0131lmac\u0131 bir politika takip etmesinin sonucu olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Rusya bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te t\u00fcm itirazlara ra\u011fmen b\u00f6lgede bir h\u00e2kimiyet kurmu\u015f, ayr\u0131ca Donbas b\u00f6lgesindeki ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 gruplar\u0131 da Ukrayna\u2019dan ayr\u0131lmalar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde desteklemi\u015fti. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te Ukrayna ise Avrupa ve ABD ile ili\u015fkilerini geli\u015ftirerek kendi g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamaya y\u00f6nelik bir politika takip etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ukrayna g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in Bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131ndan destek istemi\u015f, bu durum ise Rusya\u2019y\u0131 \u00e7evrelemek isteyen ABD i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir siyasi ara\u00e7 haline gelmi\u015ftir. Nitekim Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n NATO\u2019ya al\u0131nmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tart\u0131\u015fmalar bu iddiay\u0131 do\u011frular niteliktedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusya, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n Bat\u0131 ile geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi ittifak\u0131n asl\u0131nda kendine kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmanca bir ama\u00e7 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 iddias\u0131 ile Ukrayna\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik tekrar sald\u0131r\u0131 durumuna ge\u00e7mi\u015f ve 24 \u015eubat 2022 tarihinde Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusya- Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131, Avrupa\u2019da So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6nemi sonras\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f olan en b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fcvenlik krizlerinden biri olmu\u015ftur. \u00d6yleki Avrupa\u2019da ayn\u0131 So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu gibi a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u015fekilde \u201cRus Tehtidi\u201d tan\u0131mlamalar\u0131 yap\u0131lmaya ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu durum \u015f\u00fcphesiz en \u00e7ok ABD\u2019nin i\u015fine yaram\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Zira ABD -Joe Biden\u2019in ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6neminde- AB \u00fclkelerinin g\u00fcvenlik endi\u015felerini b\u00f6lgedeki hegomonyas\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in bir ara\u00e7 haline getirmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131ndaki sava\u015f\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde ABD, Biden d\u00f6neminde Ukrayna\u2019ya ciddi bir destek paketini devreye sokmu\u015ftur. 2022\u2019den 2024\u2019e kadar ABD Ukrayna\u2019ya, toplamda 108 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir yard\u0131m yapm\u0131\u015f, bunun 66,5 milyar dolar\u0131 Javelin tanksavar sistemleri, HIMARS roketleri ve Patriot hava savunma sistemleri gibi askeri ekipmanlara gitmi\u015ftir. Biden y\u00f6netimi, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te Rusya\u2019y\u0131 d\u00fcnya sahnesinde yaln\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131rmak i\u00e7in \u00e7e\u015fitli alanalrda yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar uygulam\u0131\u015f ve NATO\u2019nun do\u011fu s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme yoluna gitmi\u015ftir. Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n bu sava\u015f\u0131 \u201ckazanmas\u0131\u201d gerekti\u011fi her f\u0131rsatta dile getirilse de, bu zaferin ne anlama geldi\u011fi mu\u011flak b\u0131rak\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, son s\u00f6z\u00fcn Ukrayna\u2019ya ait oldu\u011fu belirtilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avrupa Birli\u011fi ise bu sava\u015f\u0131n Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fine do\u011frudan bir tehdit oldu\u011funu kabul ederek benzer bir duru\u015f sergilemi\u015ftir. AB, 2022\u2019den bu yana Ukrayna\u2019ya 175 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fan bir yard\u0131m s\u00f6z\u00fc vermi\u015f, \u00f6zellikle Almanya, Polonya ve Balt\u0131k \u00fclkeleri askeri deste\u011fi art\u0131rmada \u00f6n saflarda yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Fransa ve \u0130talya gibi \u00fclkeler daha \u00e7ekingen bir tav\u0131r tak\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB, Rusya\u2019dan enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131p ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak, 2027\u2019ye kadar Rus gaz\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bitirmek gibi hedeflere, kendi yolunu \u00e7izmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ancak, Macaristan\u2019\u0131n Rusya\u2019ya \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, AB\u2019nin birlik i\u00e7inde hareket etmesini zaman zaman zorla\u015ft\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n 20 Ocak 2025\u2019te ikinci kez ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 olmas\u0131, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131nda dengeleri alt\u00fcst etmi\u015ftir. Kampanya d\u00f6neminde \u201cBu sava\u015f\u0131 24 saatte bitiririm\u201d diyen Trump, ABD\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f yard\u0131m harcamalar\u0131na tepki g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Ayr\u0131ca Trump \u201cAmerica First\u201d politikas\u0131yla \u00fclkesinin ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n planda tutaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da ifade etmi\u015ftir. Trump bu do\u011frultuda, Ukrayna\u2019ya yap\u0131lan askeri yard\u0131m\u0131 \u201cs\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez\u201d olarak nitelendirmi\u015f ve durdurmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump Ukrayna lideri Zelensky ile Beyaz Saray\u2019da ger\u00e7ele\u015ftidi\u011fi gergin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede, sava\u015f konusunda muhatab\u0131n\u0131 su\u00e7layarak \u201cYa anla\u015fma yapars\u0131n ya da biz yokuz\u201d s\u00f6zleri ile rest \u00e7ekmi\u015ftir. S\u00f6z konusu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n maden kaynaklar\u0131 ile ilgili imzalanmas\u0131 planlanan anla\u015fma, ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki hedefleri hususunda ayr\u0131ca \u00fczerinde durulmas\u0131 gereken bir konudur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump, Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 masada tutmak yerine Rusya ile do\u011frudan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f, Moskova ile h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde uzla\u015fmay\u0131 hedeflemi\u015ftir. ABD\u2019nin Avrupa\u2019daki askeri varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltabilece\u011fi ve NATO\u2019nun gene durumunu sorgulayabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki mesajlar\u0131 da ABD\u2019nin bu Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Avrupa ile olan ili\u015fkilerinde de \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n bu hamleleri, AB\u2019de hem kayg\u0131 hem de bir f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. AB\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ili\u015fkiler sorumlusu Kaja Kallas, ABD\u2019nin takip etti\u011fi yeni siyasete tepki g\u00f6stererek, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n kendi g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015ftir. Almanya\u2019n\u0131n muhtemel yeni \u015eans\u00f6lyesi Friedrich Merz ise \u201cSald\u0131rganla kurban\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmayal\u0131m\u201d s\u00f6zleri ile \u00fclkesinin Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 desteklemeye devam edece\u011fini belirtmi\u015ftir. Polonya gibi \u00fclkeler, ABD askerleri \u00e7ekilirse savunmas\u0131z kalma korkusuyla Trump\u2019a yana\u015fmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, Fransa ve \u0130ngiltere ise Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n savunmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde hareket etmektedirler. Nitekim Mart 2025\u2019te Londra\u2019da yap\u0131lan zirve, AB\u2019nin Ukrayna\u2019ya g\u00fcvenlik garantileri verme ihtimalini g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. AB, bu yeni duruma kar\u015f\u0131 savunma b\u00fct\u00e7elerini art\u0131rma yoluna gitmi\u015f, Polonya GSY\u0130H\u2019 sinin %5\u2019ini savunmaya ay\u0131rarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, Almanya ve Fransa ortak silah \u00fcretimini h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Yine de, AB\u2019nin NATO\u2019dan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir g\u00fcvenlik sistemi kurmas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemektedir. \u00dcstelik Trump\u2019\u0131n NATO\u2019yu ele\u015ftirileriyle bu belirsizlik daha da artmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusya- Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ak\u0131beti, Trump\u2019\u0131n politikalar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l sonu\u00e7 verece\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. Trump, Rusya ve Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya zorlarsa, Ukrayna Donbas ve K\u0131r\u0131m gibi b\u00f6lgeleri kaybedebilir ve b\u00f6lgenin g\u00fcvenli\u011fi konusu da belirsiz kalabilir. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu anla\u015fmaya sad\u0131k kal\u0131p kalmayaca\u011f\u0131 ayr\u0131 bir soru i\u015faretidir. E\u011fer ABD deste\u011fi \u00e7ekilirse, AB Ukrayna\u2019ya daha fazla yard\u0131m yapabilir, bu da Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6zerkli\u011fini art\u0131rabilir. Fakat AB \u00fclkelerinin Rusya\u2019y\u0131 durduracak g\u00fc\u00e7te olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015f\u00fcphelidir. Trump, Putin ve Zelensky\u2019yi uzla\u015ft\u0131ramazsa sava\u015f devam edebilir; Ukrayna AB ile dirense de kaynaklar\u0131 t\u00fckenme riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalabilir. Rusya ise yapt\u0131r\u0131mlara ra\u011fmen ayakta durursa sadece Ukrayna\u2019ya de\u011fil Avrupa\u2019ya da kar\u015f\u0131 bir \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r. Son olarak, Trump\u2019\u0131n \u201cAmerica First\u201d anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 ABD\u2019yi Avrupa ile ilgili meselelerden uzakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rsa, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak olan bo\u015fluk Rusya ve \u00c7in taraf\u0131ndan doldurulacakt\u0131r. T\u00fcm bu \u015fartlar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda AB kendi g\u00fcvenlik te\u015fkilatn\u0131 kurmak zorundad\u0131r. Ancak AB i\u00e7indeki g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadeleleri bu zorunlulu\u011fun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UTAMER Analiz<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131ndaki sava\u015f, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n 2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131 i\u015fgal etmesi ve b\u00f6lgede yay\u0131lmac\u0131 bir politika takip etmesinin sonucu olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Rusya bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te t\u00fcm itirazlara ra\u011fmen b\u00f6lgede bir h\u00e2kimiyet kurmu\u015f, ayr\u0131ca Donbas b\u00f6lgesindeki ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 gruplar\u0131 da Ukrayna\u2019dan ayr\u0131lmalar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde desteklemi\u015fti. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te Ukrayna ise Avrupa ve ABD ile ili\u015fkilerini geli\u015ftirerek kendi g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamaya […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":477,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,25,27,23],"tags":[39,38],"class_list":{"0":"post-476","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-analizler","8":"category-avrupa","9":"category-dunya","10":"category-manset","11":"tag-uluslararasi-toplum-arastirmalari","12":"tag-utamer"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/476","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=476"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/476\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":479,"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/476\/revisions\/479"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/477"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=476"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=476"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/utamer.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=476"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}